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Table 3 Linear probability models

From: International remittances, cash transfer assistance and voter turnout in Mexico

 

Dependent variable: Turnout intentions

Post-matching

Pre-matching

(1)

(2)

(3)

(4)

CCT beneficiary

0.032

0.050

0.014

0.015

(0.035)

(0.040)

(0.017)

(0.018)

Remittance recipient

−0.077**

−0.056

−0.051*

−0.046

(0.037)

(0.046)

(0.029)

(0.035)

CCT*remittances

 

−0.070

 

−0.015

 

(0.083)

 

(0.062)

Trust in elections

0.019***

0.019**

0.015***

0.015***

(0.007)

(0.007)

(0.004)

(0.004)

Support in democracy

0.020***

0.021***

0.014***

0.014***

(0.009)

(0.009)

(0.004)

(0.004)

Previously voted

0.132***

0.132***

0.170***

0.170***

(0.043)

(0.043)

(0.020)

(0.020)

Party sympathizer

0.126***

0.126***

0.102***

0.102***

(0.032)

(0.032)

(0.012)

(0.012)

Interest in politics

0.047***

0.048***

0.060***

0.060***

(0.018)

(0.018)

(0.008)

(0.008)

Community participation

−0.002

−0.002

0.004

0.004

(0.008)

(0.008)

(0.003)

(0.003)

Crime victimization

0.0005

−0.0005

0.005

0.005

(0.015)

(0.015)

(0.004)

(0.004)

Perceptions of national economy

0.005

0.007

−0.004

−0.003

(0.027)

(0.027)

(0.013)

(0.013)

Emigration intentions

0.00002

0.001

−0.019

−0.019

(0.040)

(0.040)

(0.021)

(0.021)

Educational attainment

0.007*

0.007*

0.004*

0.004*

(0.005)

(0.005)

(0.002)

(0.002)

Household income

−0.011***

−0.011***

−0.005*

−0.005*

(0.005)

(0.005)

(0.002)

(0.002)

Size of place of residence

0.015

0.016

0.002

0.002

(0.015)

(0.016)

(0.006)

(0.006)

Employed

−0.034

−0.034

−0.019

−0.019

(0.030)

(0.030)

(0.015)

(0.015)

Female

0.012

0.011

−0.005

−0.005

(0.032)

(0.032)

(0.015)

(0.015)

Age

−0.006

−0.006

−0.006**

−0.006**

(0.005)

(0.005)

(0.003)

(0.003)

Age (squared)

0.0001

0.0001

0.0001**

0.0001**

(0.0001)

(0.0001)

(0.00003)

(0.00003)

2012 wave

0.013

0.015

0.009

0.009

(0.048)

(0.048)

(0.025)

(0.025)

2014 wave

0.039

0.040

0.028

0.028

(0.051)

(0.051)

(0.025)

(0.025)

Constant

0.629***

0.616***

0.624***

0.623***

(0.140)

(0.143)

(0.061)

(0.061)

Observations

734

734

2419

2419

R2

0.145

0.146

0.151

0.151

Adjusted R2

0.121

0.121

0.144

0.144

Residual Std. Error

0.319 (df = 713)

0.319 (df = 712)

0.332 (df = 2398)

0.332 (df = 2397)

F Statistic

6.056*** (df = 20; 713)

5.816*** (df = 21; 712)

21.330*** (df = 20; 2398)

20.309*** (df = 21; 2397)

  1. Notes: Coefficients are statistically significant at *p < 0.1; **p < 0.05; ***p < 0.01. Robust standard errors are in parentheses