Skip to main content

Table 4 Linear regression models

From: International remittances, cash transfer assistance and voter turnout in Mexico

 

Dependent variable: Turnout in the 2012 presidential election

Instrumental variables

OLS

(5)

(6)

(7)

(8)

Remittance receiving households

−0.498***

−0.517**

−0.414***

−0.211***

(0.057)

(0.243)

(0.028)

(0.060)

Oportunidades spending

0.0003

0.0001

0.001***

0.002***

(0.004)

(0.005)

(0.001)

(0.001)

Oportunidades* Remittances

 

0.00002

 

−0.0002***

 

(0.0002)

 

(0.0001)

Population density (log)

−0.911

−0.926

−0.515

−0.493

(0.792)

(0.883)

(0.397)

(0.396)

Population size (log)

−4.045***

−4.070***

−3.818***

−3.672***

(0.688)

(0.849)

(0.373)

(0.373)

Social marginalization (index)

−0.845

−0.793

−1.197***

−1.264***

(1.856)

(2.176)

(0.463)

(0.475)

High and very high levels of marginalization

−0.120

−0.115

−0.004

−0.037

(0.633)

(0.646)

(0.625)

(0.624)

Homicide rate

−1.695**

−1.722**

−1.667**

−1.456**

(0.872)

(0.993)

(0.814)

(0.808)

Sex ratio

0.090**

0.090**

0.127***

0.124***

(0.041)

(0.041)

(0.037)

(0.036)

Constant

75.947***

76.302***

68.965***

67.097***

(11.264)

(13.522)

(4.442)

(4.480)

Observations

2432

2432

2443

2443

State effects

YES

YES

YES

YES

R2

0.572

0.571

0.576

0.578

Adjusted R2

0.565

0.564

0.569

0.571

Residual Std. Error

7.069 (df = 2392)

7.079 (df = 2391)

7.032 (df = 2403)

7.010 (df = 2402)

F Statistic

  

83.554*** (df = 39; 2403)

82.380*** (df = 40; 2402)

  1. Notes: Coefficients are statistically significant at *p < 0.1; **p < 0.05; ***p < 0.01. Robust standard errors are in parentheses