From: International remittances, cash transfer assistance and voter turnout in Mexico
Dependent variable: Turnout in the 2012 presidential election | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Instrumental variables | OLS | |||
(5) | (6) | (7) | (8) | |
Remittance receiving households | −0.498*** | −0.517** | −0.414*** | −0.211*** |
(0.057) | (0.243) | (0.028) | (0.060) | |
Oportunidades spending | 0.0003 | 0.0001 | 0.001*** | 0.002*** |
(0.004) | (0.005) | (0.001) | (0.001) | |
Oportunidades* Remittances | 0.00002 | −0.0002*** | ||
(0.0002) | (0.0001) | |||
Population density (log) | −0.911 | −0.926 | −0.515 | −0.493 |
(0.792) | (0.883) | (0.397) | (0.396) | |
Population size (log) | −4.045*** | −4.070*** | −3.818*** | −3.672*** |
(0.688) | (0.849) | (0.373) | (0.373) | |
Social marginalization (index) | −0.845 | −0.793 | −1.197*** | −1.264*** |
(1.856) | (2.176) | (0.463) | (0.475) | |
High and very high levels of marginalization | −0.120 | −0.115 | −0.004 | −0.037 |
(0.633) | (0.646) | (0.625) | (0.624) | |
Homicide rate | −1.695** | −1.722** | −1.667** | −1.456** |
(0.872) | (0.993) | (0.814) | (0.808) | |
Sex ratio | 0.090** | 0.090** | 0.127*** | 0.124*** |
(0.041) | (0.041) | (0.037) | (0.036) | |
Constant | 75.947*** | 76.302*** | 68.965*** | 67.097*** |
(11.264) | (13.522) | (4.442) | (4.480) | |
Observations | 2432 | 2432 | 2443 | 2443 |
State effects | YES | YES | YES | YES |
R2 | 0.572 | 0.571 | 0.576 | 0.578 |
Adjusted R2 | 0.565 | 0.564 | 0.569 | 0.571 |
Residual Std. Error | 7.069 (df = 2392) | 7.079 (df = 2391) | 7.032 (df = 2403) | 7.010 (df = 2402) |
F Statistic | 83.554*** (df = 39; 2403) | 82.380*** (df = 40; 2402) |