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Table 7 Linear regression analyses of propensity to migrate without papers, among those thinking of migrating, by country

From: Re-thinking the drivers of regular and irregular migration: evidence from the MENA region

 

Algeria

Egypt

Iraq

Jordan

Kuwait

Lebanon

Libya

Morocco

Palestine

Sudan

Tunisia

Yemen

Socio-demographics

Male

0.29*** (0.05)

0.10 (0.06)

0.16*** (0.04)

0.11*** (0.03)

− 0.12* (0.07)

0.04 (0.03)

0.17*** (0.06)

0.35*** (0.03)

0.12*** (0.04)

0.17*** (0.04)

0.19*** (0.04)

0.31*** (0.05)

Age

− 0.01*** (0.00)

− 0.00 (0.00)

− 0.00 (0.00)

− 0.00 (0.00)

− 0.00 (0.00)

− 0.00 (0.00)

0.00 (0.00)

− 0.00 (0.00)

0.00 (0.00)

− 0.00 (0.00)

− 0.00 (0.00)

− 0.00 (0.00)

University

− 0.01 (0.01)

− 0.02* (0.01)

− 0.00 (0.01)

− 0.01 (0.01)

− 0.02 (0.02)

− 0.01 (0.01)

− 0.06*** (0.02)

− 0.04*** (0.01)

0.00 (0.01)

− 0.01 (0.01)

− 0.05*** (0.01)

− 0.02** (0.01)

Unemployed

0.05 (0.05)

0.07 (0.07)

0.16*** (0.06)

0.07 (0.05)

0.18 (0.15)

0.03 (0.07)

0.16* (0.08)

0.11*** (0.03)

0.02 (0.06)

− 0.07 (0.05)

0.01 (0.05)

0.03 (0.06)

Unmarried

0.14** (0.06)

0.01 (0.07)

0.02 (0.05)

− 0.03 (0.04)

− 0.13 (0.10)

0.00 (0.04)

0.03 (0.06)

0.09** (0.04)

0.11* (0.06)

0.05 (0.04)

0.09* (0.05)

0.05 (0.06)

High income

− 0.10** (0.05)

− 0.20*** (0.05)

− 0.08** (0.04)

− 0.07** (0.03)

0.10* (0.06)

− 0.03 (0.05)

0.10* (0.06)

− 0.00 (0.03)

− 0.11** (0.04)

− 0.12*** (0.04)

− 0.09* (0.05)

− 0.13*** (0.05)

Religious

− 0.03 (0.05)

0.03 (0.06)

0.05 (0.04)

0.03 (0.03)

0.02 (0.11)

− 0.00 (0.04)

0.05 (0.07)

− 0.03 (0.04)

0.00 (0.05)

− 0.03 (0.04)

0.02 (0.05)

− 0.15*** (0.05)

(Perceived) economic and political context

Economic pessimism

0.04** (0.02)

0.03 (0.03)

0.01 (0.02)

0.04*** (0.01)

0.01 (0.03)

0.00 (0.02)

− 0.01 (0.02)

0.02 (0.01)

0.01 (0.02)

0.00 (0.02)

0.05*** (0.01)

− 0.04** (0.02)

Perceived democracy

− 0.00 (0.01)

− 0.02 (0.01)

− 0.01* (0.01)

− 0.01* (0.01)

− 0.02 (0.01)

0.01 (0.01)

− 0.01 (0.01)

− 0.03*** (0.01)

− 0.02 (0.01)

− 0.01 (0.01)

− 0.01* (0.01)

0.00 (0.01)

Perceived corruption

§

0.01 (0.03)

0.04 (0.04)

− 0.01 (0.02)

− 0.04 (0.04)

− 0.02 (0.03)

0.01 (0.03)

0.03 (0.02)

− 0.02 (0.03)

− 0.04 (0.02)

0.04 (0.04)

0.02 (0.03)

Access to migrant networks

Use social media

0.03 (0.03)

− 0.02 (0.04)

0.02 (0.02)

0.04** (0.02)

0.03 (0.03)

− 0.06*** (0.02)

0.05 (0.03)

0.02 (0.02)

0.00 (0.02)

0.01 (0.03)

0.06*** (0.02)

− 0.03 (0.03)

Trust social media

− 0.04 (0.03)

0.01 (0.03)

0.04** (0.02)

− 0.01 (0.02)

0.03 (0.03)

− 0.01 (0.02)

0.04 (0.04)

− 0.00 (0.02)

0.00 (0.03)

0.03 (0.02)

0.03* (0.02)

− 0.01 (0.03)

Receive remittances

− 0.01 (0.04)

0.01 (0.05)

0.04 (0.04)

0.01 (0.03)

0.02 (0.07)

0.01 (0.03)

− 0.00 (0.06)

0.01 (0.02)

0.01 (0.03)

− 0.01 (0.03)

− 0.00 (0.03)

0.01 (0.03)

Psychological factors

Feel free to make decision

− 0.03 (0.04)

0.01 (0.03)

− 0.03 (0.03)

− 0.02 (0.03)

− 0.02 (0.04)

− 0.01 (0.03)

− 0.06 (0.05)

0.01 (0.02)

− 0.01 (0.03)

− 0.03 (0.03)

0.02 (0.03)

− 0.02 (0.04)

Stress

0.00 (0.05)

− 0.01 (0.04)

− 0.00 (0.03)

0.01 (0.03)

0.01 (0.06)

− 0.03 (0.03)

− 0.01 (0.05)

0.03 (0.03)

0.05 (0.04)

0.03 (0.04)

0.03 (0.02)

− 0.02 (0.04)

Depression

0.03 (0.04)

0.02 (0.04)

0.01 (0.03)

− 0.01 (0.02)

− 0.01 (0.07)

0.02 (0.03)

0.08* (0.04)

0.07** (0.03)

0.04 (0.03)

− 0.02 (0.03)

0.02 (0.02)

− 0.03 (0.04)

Interpersonal trust

0.03 (0.08)

− 0.04 (0.06)

0.01 (0.07)

0.05 (0.06)

− 0.02 (0.07)

0.24*** (0.09)

0.25** (0.11)

0.07 (0.05)

0.03 (0.07)

0.00 (0.06)

0.09 (0.09)

− 0.02 (0.05)

Constant

0.38 (0.26)

0.42 (0.30)

0.08 (0.25)

0.02 (0.17)

0.39 (0.29)

0.21 (0.22)

− 0.12 (0.33)

− 0.24 (0.19)

0.06 (0.25)

0.66*** (0.21)

− 0.39* (0.24)

0.59** (0.25)

Observations

795

516

821

933

96

584

360

865

629

920

720

560

  1. Missing variables imputed. Standard errors in parentheses. Statistical significance: ***p < 0.01, **p < 0.05, *p < 0.1. § responses not available for country